Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 4.199017 4.844625 5.555375 6.395789 7.362392 8.439385 9.730659
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.366673 4.223511 5.246628 6.558028 8.194565 10.170164 12.737853
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.665884 3.598390 4.793732 6.437723 8.640639 11.492247 15.468276
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.336127 3.366567 4.773860 6.835045 9.778006 13.832046 19.849782
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.040063 3.119539 4.680854 7.101658 10.762305 16.096415 24.474844
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.748238 2.822428 4.459796 7.134266 11.396264 17.933421 28.745290
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.433264 2.433106 4.032899 6.774907 11.361413 18.737223 31.531082
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.304933 2.320319 4.019294 7.063489 12.387814 21.331335 37.539465
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.231081 2.285631 4.125204 7.560484 13.823624 24.779065 45.459282
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.118444 2.162957 4.058085 7.737940 14.714947 27.393949 52.264669
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.011106 2.032374 3.955567 7.830386 15.454226 29.817587 59.033483
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.876202 1.827454 3.683622 7.557691 15.454402 30.852861 63.277669
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.751519 1.627552 3.400017 7.234818 15.338137 31.702912 67.398568
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.687303 1.543404 3.336964 7.353932 16.141147 34.494430 75.905755
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.605560 1.408659 3.149196 7.180770 16.301776 35.985454 81.883477
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.580965 1.397705 3.225974 7.598811 17.814357 40.557612 95.277426
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.547771 1.361583 3.241313 7.879268 19.056219 44.701984 108.305687
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.501012 1.285601 3.154006 7.905757 19.708579 47.596765 118.832821
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.434170 1.149397 2.904376 7.502181 19.266196 47.873112 123.087391
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.414980 1.131731 2.941279 7.817944 20.652311 52.726643 139.406681
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.408491 1.146463 3.061536 8.365304 22.708626 59.511002 161.638295
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.385091 1.111717 3.049001 8.560051 23.867531 64.173056 178.968611
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.359659 1.067314 3.004479 8.661342 24.788993 68.339434 195.564110